Winds of War in the Middle East

Publicado el 04-06-08 - en English

Press Bulletin No. 44 – 1st June 2008 

Imminent Global Crisis

In recent weeks, very worrying indications have again arisen pointing to an imminent unilateral attack of the United States and Israel against Iran over its nuclear program. This will most likely take place in the next few months – possibly during the summer months of July and August – once the Democratic Party’s presidential candidate is finally nominated: will it be Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama?

 

 

Hillary Clinton has repeatedly stated that she is fully aligned to the interests of the State of Israel. Barack Obama, however, clearly generates concern amongst the highest echelons of global Zionist leadership, as his “trustworthiness” is no where as clear-cut as Hillary’s or Republican John McCain’s. This is why we continue seeing such a tremendous battle inside the Democratic Party, where Obama, who was never expected to get this far, is being increasingly pressed – even threatened – to declare his uncompromising support of Israeli interests. This is a fundamental factor and prior condition to his ever being allowed to become President of the United States.

This report highlights some of the key indications that show how the world is being literally dragged to what will no doubt become an intensified war in the Middle East which will then quickly flare-up into a veritable generalized World War-

 

Marching Towards War

1 – October 2007: Israel bombs Syrian installations – Israel’s air attack in Syrian territory to allegedly destroy a nuclear reactor that was being built using North Korean technology was never properly clarified. Only patchy information came out in the world media, even though the US – as was to be expected – immediately supported the Israeli incursion; however, the world media quickly forgot the whole affair. Many analysts both in Israel and in Lebanon, however, believe that the true objective of that incursion over Syrian territory was to force Lebanon to turn on its brand- new Russian built and supplied electronic air defense system. In that way, Israel was probably able to discover the location, reach and electronic characteristics of the defense system, that would allow them to better plan the trajectory of their bombers when carrying out a military air attack on Iran, flying over Syrian air space.

2 – March 2008: Admiral William Fallon resigns as Commander of US Troops in the Middle East. His resignation created quite a storm amongst US military circles, as he was one of the strongest voices in the military against the Bush-Cheney Administration’s goal of unilaterally attacking Iran. What triggered Fallon’s resignation was an interview in Esquire magazine, in which he stated rather bluntly that he would not support any such a military adventure. There is a very grave on-going split within the US Armed Forces on account of the gross political mismanagement of the war in Iraq. So much so, that last 25h of May, the Head of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Admiral Muller, had to order his troops not to have any political activism, and to respect the traditional neutrality of the US military in political matters. Today, the Navy is very important in US military power structure, because any war against Iran will have the Navy as main player, at a time when the Army and other land forces are seriously bogged down in land operations in Iraq and Afghanistan.

3 – March 2008: Dick Cheney tours the Middle East – Key Neo-conservative Bush Administration mentor, militant pro-Israeli Zionist and anti-Iran fanatic, vice-president Dick Cheney, toured the Middle East, allegedly to “try to reactivate the peace process between Israel and the Palestinians”, however, his visit had other highly meaningful stops: (i) Oman – key military ally and logistic hub for the US Armed Forces in the Persian Gulf, as Oman has a very important geo-strategic location on the Strait of Hormuz, which marks the entrance to the Persian Gulf, which Iran could easily block in case of war, triggering grave disruption in oil supplies coming out of that Region’s oil fields; (ii) Saudi Arabia, whose support is fundamental for the US in case of war with Iran, considering its huge capacity to increase oil production, to off-set Persian Gulf shortfalls and thus stabilize oil supply and prices (in spite of the recent unwillingness shown by the Saudis to do this just yet). The price for a barrel of oil has recently reached the unheard of level of u$s 135, and specialists at Goldman Sachs and other key global oil market consultants are speculating as to what oil barrel price level – u$s 150?, u$s 180?, u$s 200? – the world economy will grind to a halt. Major airlines are already feeling the full impact of the oil crunch. We should remember that in March 2002, Dick Cheney made a similar “tour of the Middle East”, at that time in order to “try to find a way of resolving problems with Iraq through diplomatic means”. We all know how that ended…

4 – Beginning of mayo 2008: US destroyers take up positions off the coasts of Lebanon – Two ultra-high tech US destroyers have taken up positions off the coast of Lebanon, supposedly reflecting US concern over the volatile political situation and Syrian influence in Lebanon. In actual fact, it can be inferred that this is yet another move on the strategic chessboard to ensure US air and naval forces are properly positioned for action against Iran, which would have the objective of controlling Syria, an ally of Iran, and help give Israel air strike protection in the face of a certain Iranian counter-attack against Israel, once the Israelis unilaterally attack Iran. One of these vessels, – the USS Ross – is a destroyer armed with highly advanced Aegis guided missiles.

5 – Situation in Israel. May 2008:

(i) Growing weakness of prime minister Ehud Olmert, after the disastrous unilateral military operation against Lebanon in 2006 – Now, Olmert faces corruption accusations from his shady dealings with US business man TALANT which has put his political enemies in Israel on the war path against him. Even his defense minister Ehud Barak and foreign minister Tzipi Livni are asking for his resignation. If Olmert goes and new elections are called, the favourite to become the new prime minister is none other than arch-hawk and anti-Iran warmonger Benjamin Netanyahu (leader of the ultra-right Likud Party), who has repeatedly stated in no uncertain terms that, if necessary, Israel should act unilaterally against Iran. If Netanyahu comes to power again, it will be on the back of his anti-Iran platform, and that will signal the start of the countdown towards war against Iran.

(ii) George W. Bush’s visit to Israel on its 60th Anniversary – During his meetings with primer minister Olmert, they agreed to take “tangible action” to destroy Iran’s nuclear program. Olmert spokesman Mark Regev said that his country and the United States “are on the same wavelength. We both see the threat. We both understand that tangible action is necessary in order to avoid that Iran develop a nuclear weapon”. In meetings held with the defense minister Barak, they allegedly submitted to Bush “new evidence” of Iran’s nuclear weapons program with which they try to neutralize the 2007 report issued by more than a dozen US intelligence agencies indicating that Iran’s nuclear program has been frozen since 2003, which greatly angered Bush-Cheney and Zionist hawks in the US Administration. At the end of Bush’s visit, Israeli spokesmen said that the Israelies “were totally satisfied with the results of president Bush’s visit, including his policies towards Iran’s nuclear program”. Bush, lastly, declared that “the population of Israel may be of just a little more than 7.000.000 people, but when it comes to fighting terror, I can assured you that you are 307 million strong, because the United States stands by you”.

6 – Hezbollah – Israel’s 2006 attack on Lebanon saw its goal of destroying Hezbollah totally backfire. However, that operation could be construed to be an intermediate step leading the Israelis to Iran. Hezbollah is a threat for Israel and, much worse, it is a beachhead for Iran posed on Israel itself, and will become highly dangerous when war finally breaks out between those two countries. That is why it was so important for Israel to disrupt Hizbollah and reduce its operational capabilities. Clearly, this turned out bad for Israel and, no doubt, delayed the its unilateral “preventive” strike against Iran planned for the end of 2006.

7 – US Presidential Elections – Presently in its final stage, the Democratic Party must now decide whether their candidate will be Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton. If Clinton wins, this will signal a green light for Israel to attack Iran as the Clintons have always been staunch supporters of Israel, almost as much as the Bush-Cheney Neoconservative Regime. Recently, Hillary went so far as to promise that if elected, she would “obliterate Iran”. Similar full pro-Israeli alignment can be observed with Republican John McCain, whose pro-Israel stance hardly differs from Bush and Cheney’s. If, however, Obama wins the Democratic Primaries then things could become difficult for Zionists. The surprising strength and public profile acquired by Obama can be explained by the great support he received from a very powerful sector within the US power structure, that no longer agrees to automatically take an unconditional – even irrational – alignment behind the State of Israel and Zionist interests. They are much more attuned to the geopolitical policies espoused by Zbigniew Brzezinski (former National Security Advisor to president Jimmy Carter, ideologue and co-founder of David Rockefeller’s powerful Trilateral Commission), who believe that today the United States has its foreign policy priorities all wrong. They believe that the US should go back to its traditional policy of prioritizing political, military and economic contention of China and Russia – the true medium-term enemies of the US – instead of dispersing great amount of energy and wasting huge forces in the irrational conflicts and wars of the Middle East, whose main beneficiary is always the State of Israel (within this context, one can better understand the forces behind the watershed report published by Harvard University in March 2006 by academics John Mearsheimer and Stephen Walt: “The Israel Lobby and US Foreign Policy”, as well as Jimmy Carter’s own book, “Palestine: Peace or Apartheid?”, that have so much angered fanatical Zionists, both Jewish and Gentile.

8 – The Growing Oil Crisis – As an indication that a full-scale war is looming in the Middle East, those in the know – e.g., oil market players, traders and warring nations -, have reacted by hoarding large oil stocks, which drove the price of a barrel of oil from around u$s 30 more than two years ago, to its present u$s 135. Serious disruption in the world’s oil trading as Middle East supplies are blocked is an imminent reality. The economies of Europe, the United States and Japan are already reflecting the tremendous impact of this crisis, and industries like the airline sector are dangerously nearing a veritable systemic collapse if the price of oil keeps rising.

9 – The Global Financial Crisis and the Controlled Destabilizing of the US Dollar – Today’s Dollar Crisis is not part of any economic cycle, or passing crisis – sub-prime mortgages or otherwise – or some such predictable phenomenon. Rather, today’s Dollar Crisis involves the potential – impending? – hyperinflationary collapse of the US currency as a consequence of more than a decade of uncontrolled monetary emission, necessary to finance US Super Power status, finance its unprecedented Fiscal Debt generated by the lack of public responsibility of its leaders and, in recent times, the gigantic cost of the wars in Iraq, Afghanistan and – through Israeli proxy – against Palestine and Lebanon. We have described how this phonomenon may unfold in an essay called “Death and Resurrection of the US Dollar” (available on www.globalresearch.ca or on request by sending an E-mail to salbuchi@fibertel.com.ar.).

Probable Scenarios:

The Strategy = Israeli First Strike + US Second Strike – Any incursion against Iran will necessarily require that Israel become the central player triggering initial war operations against Iran. Today, the Bush-Cheney Regime lacks all credibility to carry out a unilateral first strike against Iran, as they did against Iraq in 2003. This is due, precisely, to the great social divide in US public opinion as a consequence of the growing fiasco in Iraq. In any operation against Iran, the US can only act if it is perceived that is does so “in defense of little Israel”, once a highly dramatic and traumatic Iranian counter-strike has been launched against Israel. Thus, this time around, it is Israel that will have to take the extremely tough decision of deciding when, how and with what pretext to launch a unilateral air strike against Iranian nuclear installations. This will immediately bring upon Israel a devastating Iranian (and allies?) counterattrack, that will have a very heavy cost for Israel in terms of human lives and material damage, but which will render Israel huge benefits in the form of intense, extensive and highly dramatic media coverage, both in the US and around the world, generating sympathy among US public opinion and that of its key allies, who will stand behind “poor little Israel”. Only a few days of this veritable Fox News, CNN, New York Times, LA Times, etc psychological warfare campaign will suffice to allow Bush’s and Cheney’s Zionists to rally necessary public support for a US military strike against Iran and in Israel’s favour. War will come fast, it will be extremely violent and generalized. In short: ISRAEL attacks first; IRAN retaliates; and, through intense psychological warfare, the necessary mass public support will be generated so that the UNITED STATES can come out and support Israel. Given the strategic agreements and alliances that Iran holds with Russia, China and key Muslim countries, what happens after that is anybody’s guess…
If Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic Party nomination, then the Bush-Cheney Regime will be able to agree with both candidates – Hillary and McCain – so that irrespective of who wins the November presidential elections – Democrats or Republicans – the future US Administration will give its full support to a unilateral Israeli attack against Iran, even if the use nuclear weapons. This may explain why former president Jimmy Carter just reminded public opinion that Israel counts with at least 150 nuclear bombs, which makes it the sole power with weapons of mass destruction in the Middle East. This attack scenario against Iran can then take place most likely during the lull of the summer holiday months of July and August, with the goal of concluding main military operations at least 30 days before the November elections, so that they can take place in relative calm and “normalcy”. The result of those elections – whether McCain or Hillary – will be of little importance to Israeli interests, as both are fully committed to supporting Israel as a top national priority, even above the National Interest of the US itself (one of the key points raised in the March 2006 Mearsheimer/Walt Report).
If Barack Obama wins the Democratic Party nomination, then things will be different because Obama is nowhere near as “trustworthy” towards Israel as Zionists need him to be (…or become…). In that case, one can envision a scenario whereby Israel will delay its unilateral air strike against Iran until September or October, so that – following the same sequence of events described above – the Israel-US war against Iran will reach its hottest point during the months of October or November. With such a “National Crisis” in the US, resulting from its intensified “War on Terrorism” – particularly if a new 9/11-like mega-attack were to take place either inside the US or against US or Israeli interests abroad (which will probably have many “false flag operation” characteristics that will enable Zionist leaders in the US Administration and elsewhere to blame Iran and “Islamic Fundamentalists” as part of their Psyops Warfare), one can even wonder whether this would not open the road to an unexpected “emergency option”, especially if Obama were to prove resilient in resisting Zionist pressure: the outright suspension of Presidential Elections in the United States next November.
In future reports, we will continue assessing this unfolding situation of worldwide consequences. Today we can say without doubt that the whole world should be very much on the alert to what is happening, and prepare for the worst. Argentina should also be most careful as to where we will stand in this impending war, considering that the Nestor and Cristina Kirchner Regime in our country, has arbitrarily and perversely aligned Argentina behind the war-mongering of the Bush-Cheney Administration and the main global Zionist lobbies. This happened in September 2006 when they accepted to launch false accusations against former Iranian president Ali Rafsanjani and his key ministers of being responsible for blowing up the AMIA Jewish Mutual building in Buenos Aires in July 1994. Those grossly false accusations made by Argentina’s government against Iran were solely based on “intelligence” supplied to Argentine “investigators” by the CIA and Mossad spy agencies…

Movimiento por la Segunda República Argentina – (MSRA)

 

Adrian Salbuchi

(Founder)

 

 

 

 

  

  

 

  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Argentine Second Republic Movement (Movimiento por la Segunda República Argentina – (MSRA)
Press Bulletin No. 44 – 1st June 2008 – An Argentine View into World Events

 

 

Letter sent to the SEC Warning of Potential Soverign Debt Bond Fraud

Publicado el 21-03-08 - en English

We have repeatedly warned the Securities & Exchange Commission regarding the potential fraud surrounding their agreement to allowthe Government of Argentina to trade in US markets the latest Sovereign Debt Bond issues of 2005 as designed by former enomomy minister Roberto Lavagne under the Nestor Kirchner Administration.  The sustainability of these Bonds has yet to be demonstrated.

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